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Red180
403963.4
224053.8
540953.9
Blue157
541152.8
412239.3
682350.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16813950100150200250180157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4039
#18
63.41.7
58.259.9
Auto15.3
Teleop36.6
End9.2
red by 10.6
5411
#21
52.81.2
53.754.9
Auto12.6
Teleop30.9
End8.2
Second
5409
#33
53.91.7
51.252.9
Auto12.8
Teleop32.2
End8.8
red by 3.7
6823
#27
50.21.2
45.646.8
Auto12.6
Teleop29.6
End7.2
Third
2240
#36
53.81.7
47.849.6
Auto10.6
Teleop32.6
End10.0
red by 14.5
4122
#55
39.31.2
37.738.9
Auto10.7
Teleop19.8
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
76%Sustainability oddsEarned54%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
98%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsEarned