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Red96
924417.7
417527.3
38459.6
Blue157
907524.5
124156.8
239952.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1041385015020025096157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
384
#6
59.60.7
58.357.6
Auto15.1
Teleop35.7
End7.1
red by 2.8
1241
#47
56.81.5
54.856.2
Auto13.9
Teleop33.5
End8.1
Second
4175
#64
27.30.7
25.524.8
Auto8.6
Teleop14.3
End4.3
blue by 24.7
2399
#14
52.01.5
49.450.9
Auto15.0
Teleop27.3
End8.9
Third
9244
#77
17.70.7
17.717.0
Auto6.7
Teleop9.5
End1.9
blue by 6.9
9075
#53
24.51.5
21.022.5
Auto6.4
Teleop11.7
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
37%Sustainability oddsMissed43%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
36%Activation oddsMissed93%Activation oddsEarned