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Red140
31959.2
477946.9
900725.6
Blue178
360449.6
456150.0
60462.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13416650100150200250300140178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#4
59.20.7
59.360.0
Auto16.0
Teleop33.9
End7.8
blue by 3.5
604
#19
62.71.4
59.160.6
Auto13.5
Teleop38.3
End10.0
Second
4779
#56
46.90.7
41.942.6
Auto12.9
Teleop27.9
End6.0
blue by 3.0
4561
#38
50.01.4
49.851.2
Auto13.4
Teleop27.9
End8.6
Third
9007
#71
25.60.7
28.629.2
Auto5.4
Teleop16.5
End4.4
blue by 24.0
49.61.4
43.745.1
Auto14.5
Teleop27.4
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
68%Sustainability oddsEarned83%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
55%Activation oddsMissed89%Activation oddsEarned