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Qual 872023 Milstein Division
Red112
240339.9
174555.5
36049.5
Blue135
541946.1
635232.4
31658.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15714250100200250300112135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1745
#23
55.52.2
55.6→53.4
Auto10.8
Teleop35.6
End8.6
blue by 2.8
316
#13
58.30.7
57.0→56.4
Auto11.9
Teleop33.8
End11.0
Second
360
#70
49.52.2
47.2→45.0
Auto13.0
Teleop28.9
End7.2
red by 3.4
5419
#43
46.10.7
47.6→46.9
Auto12.6
Teleop27.1
End7.0
Third
2403
#66
39.92.2
42.2→40.0
Auto12.6
Teleop19.1
End8.6
red by 7.6
6352
#49
32.40.7
30.3→29.7
Auto11.3
Teleop14.8
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
91%Sustainability oddsMissed82%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
93%Activation oddsMissed93%Activation oddsEarned