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Red145
598819.4
69460.9
362056.7
Blue156
46953.8
107240.0
98760.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14115850100200250145156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#25
60.90.7
60.461.1
Auto14.8
Teleop36.1
End9.1
red by 0.2
987
#30
60.80.6
60.461.1
Auto15.1
Teleop38.0
End6.5
Second
3620
#59
56.70.7
57.257.8
Auto12.9
Teleop34.5
End7.4
red by 2.9
469
#7
53.80.6
51.752.4
Auto13.3
Teleop30.8
End8.7
Third
5988
#76
19.40.7
17.418.1
Auto5.5
Teleop8.7
End5.7
blue by 20.6
1072
#40
40.00.6
35.836.4
Auto11.8
Teleop21.2
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
59%Sustainability oddsEarned77%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsEarned