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Red119
907619.9
508929.5
297462.1
Blue162
93071.7
912541.1
402052.5
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106176050150200250300119162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2974
#44
62.10.7
60.060.7
Auto15.8
Teleop37.4
End6.9
blue by 9.5
930
#9
71.70.4
67.467.8
Auto16.5
Teleop44.4
End9.3
Second
5089
#75
29.50.7
28.629.4
Auto10.5
Teleop14.2
End5.3
blue by 23.0
4020
#37
52.50.4
53.954.3
Auto15.1
Teleop29.8
End6.6
Third
9076
#65
19.90.7
19.620.3
Auto6.8
Teleop11.6
End2.2
blue by 21.2
9125
#22
41.10.4
40.540.9
Auto11.3
Teleop21.2
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
32%Sustainability oddsEarned96%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
69%Activation oddsMissed93%Activation oddsEarned