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Red203
589563.6
365561.9
667264.8
Blue190
93071.7
393762.4
239952.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions185195100150250203190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6672
#24
64.80.5
63.764.1
Auto11.8
Teleop42.0
End8.6
blue by 6.9
930
#9
71.70.1
71.671.7
Auto16.5
Teleop44.4
End9.3
Second
5895
#12
63.60.5
62.663.1
Auto14.2
Teleop39.0
End7.4
red by 1.2
62.40.1
62.362.4
Auto15.7
Teleop38.7
End7.2
Third
61.90.5
60.861.2
Auto14.4
Teleop36.9
End8.6
red by 9.8
2399
#14
52.00.1
52.052.0
Auto15.0
Teleop27.3
End8.9