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Red157
58755.3
297462.1
150658.5
Blue172
60462.7
360449.6
69460.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions179178150160170190200210157172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2974
#44
62.10.2
62.462.1
Auto15.8
Teleop37.4
End6.9
blue by 0.5
604
#19
62.70.1
62.762.7
Auto13.5
Teleop38.3
End10.0
Second
1506
#31
58.50.2
58.758.5
Auto14.5
Teleop33.7
End8.5
blue by 2.5
694
#25
60.90.1
60.961.0
Auto14.8
Teleop36.1
End9.1
Third
587
#8
55.30.2
55.555.3
Auto16.1
Teleop32.0
End6.2
red by 5.7
49.60.1
49.649.7
Auto14.5
Teleop27.4
End7.0