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Red188
46953.8
192362.7
98760.8
Blue159
403963.4
609063.1
38459.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions185189100120140160200220240260188159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#17
62.70.2
62.462.6
Auto13.2
Teleop39.6
End10.1
blue by 0.7
4039
#18
63.40.4
63.863.4
Auto15.3
Teleop36.6
End9.2
Second
987
#30
60.80.2
60.460.6
Auto15.1
Teleop38.0
End6.5
blue by 2.4
6090
#28
63.10.4
63.563.1
Auto16.6
Teleop34.3
End10.3
Third
469
#7
53.80.2
53.653.8
Auto13.3
Teleop30.8
End8.7
blue by 5.8
384
#6
59.60.4
60.059.6
Auto15.1
Teleop35.7
End7.1