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Red194
141453.5
253967.0
17668.3
Blue181
368361.3
31959.2
362056.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194179120140160220240260194181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#16
68.30.3
68.568.8
Auto17.0
Teleop40.3
End8.5
red by 7.0
3683
#34
61.30.3
62.062.3
Auto13.3
Teleop39.8
End6.7
Second
67.00.3
67.167.4
Auto15.4
Teleop40.1
End10.0
red by 7.8
319
#4
59.20.3
59.960.1
Auto16.0
Teleop33.9
End7.8
Third
1414
#11
53.50.3
53.754.0
Auto14.5
Teleop32.0
End6.0
blue by 3.2
3620
#59
56.70.3
57.457.6
Auto12.9
Teleop34.5
End7.4