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Red197
589563.6
365561.9
667264.8
Blue163
93071.7
239952.0
223048.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions187177100150200250197163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6672
#24
64.80.5
63.363.8
Auto11.8
Teleop42.0
End8.6
blue by 6.9
930
#9
71.70.1
71.671.5
Auto16.5
Teleop44.4
End9.3
Second
5895
#12
63.60.5
62.262.7
Auto14.2
Teleop39.0
End7.4
red by 11.5
2399
#14
52.00.1
52.051.9
Auto15.0
Teleop27.3
End8.9
Third
61.90.5
60.460.9
Auto14.4
Teleop36.9
End8.6
red by 13.6
2230
#39
48.30.1
48.448.3
Auto12.5
Teleop27.4
End7.5