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Red198
362056.7
31959.2
368361.3
Blue181
98760.8
192362.7
124156.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions181187050100150250300350198181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3683
#34
61.30.6
62.362.9
Auto13.3
Teleop39.8
End6.7
blue by 1.4
1923
#17
62.70.1
62.662.7
Auto13.2
Teleop39.6
End10.1
Second
319
#4
59.20.6
60.160.7
Auto16.0
Teleop33.9
End7.8
blue by 1.6
987
#30
60.80.1
60.660.8
Auto15.1
Teleop38.0
End6.5
Third
3620
#59
56.70.6
57.658.2
Auto12.9
Teleop34.5
End7.4
blue by 0.1
1241
#47
56.80.1
56.656.8
Auto13.9
Teleop33.5
End8.1