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Red160
276761.4
555917.4
438159.5
Blue121
607846.3
600250.0
720319.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1511186080100140160180200220160121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.40.4
61.261.6
Auto16.4
Teleop34.6
End10.3
red by 11.4
50.00.0
49.849.8
Auto15.1
Teleop26.3
End8.5
Second
59.50.4
59.459.7
Auto16.4
Teleop34.1
End8.9
red by 13.3
46.30.0
46.146.1
Auto10.2
Teleop29.7
End6.4
Third
5559
#35
17.40.4
17.217.6
Auto6.3
Teleop6.0
End5.1
blue by 1.9
7203
#39
19.30.0
19.119.1
Auto7.7
Teleop4.4
End7.2