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Red91
780917.2
362046.0
432536.4
Blue117
194025.9
553531.9
584330.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110875010015091117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.00.2
46.246.0
Auto13.5
Teleop26.0
End6.4
red by 14.1
5535
#10
31.90.6
30.731.3
Auto12.0
Teleop13.8
End6.1
Second
4325
#22
36.40.2
36.636.4
Auto9.4
Teleop19.9
End7.0
red by 6.1
5843
#19
30.30.6
29.029.6
Auto11.4
Teleop11.6
End7.2
Third
7809
#25
17.20.2
17.417.2
Auto3.9
Teleop8.9
End4.4
blue by 8.7
25.90.6
24.625.2
Auto7.7
Teleop10.7
End7.4