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Red125
720319.3
600250.0
607846.3
Blue124
194025.9
553531.9
584330.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1288650100150200125124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.00.2
49.850.0
Auto15.1
Teleop26.3
End8.5
red by 18.1
5535
#10
31.90.6
31.331.9
Auto12.0
Teleop13.8
End6.1
Second
46.30.2
46.146.3
Auto10.2
Teleop29.7
End6.4
red by 16.0
5843
#19
30.30.6
29.630.3
Auto11.4
Teleop11.6
End7.2
Third
7203
#39
19.30.2
19.119.3
Auto7.7
Teleop4.4
End7.2
blue by 6.6
25.90.6
25.225.9
Auto7.7
Teleop10.7
End7.4