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Red164
276761.4
555917.4
438159.5
Blue65
194025.9
553531.9
584330.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155815010020016465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.40.5
60.761.2
Auto16.4
Teleop34.6
End10.3
red by 29.5
5535
#10
31.90.6
31.030.4
Auto12.0
Teleop13.8
End6.1
Second
59.50.5
58.959.4
Auto16.4
Teleop34.1
End8.9
red by 29.3
5843
#19
30.30.6
29.328.7
Auto11.4
Teleop11.6
End7.2
Third
5559
#35
17.40.5
16.717.2
Auto6.3
Teleop6.0
End5.1
blue by 8.5
25.90.6
24.924.3
Auto7.7
Teleop10.7
End7.4