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Red141
720319.3
600250.0
607846.3
Blue117
442247.4
50347.5
525623.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11913280100140160180200141117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.00.6
49.249.8
Auto15.1
Teleop26.3
End8.5
red by 2.5
503
#7
47.50.1
48.748.6
Auto15.3
Teleop21.7
End10.4
Second
46.30.6
45.546.1
Auto10.2
Teleop29.7
End6.4
blue by 1.1
47.40.1
48.648.5
Auto13.9
Teleop24.6
End8.9
Third
7203
#39
19.30.6
18.519.1
Auto7.7
Teleop4.4
End7.2
blue by 4.1
5256
#17
23.40.1
24.724.6
Auto2.5
Teleop14.9
End6.0