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Red112
523522.0
600246.6
515246.7
Blue140
567546.8
931249.2
481023.7
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123126100110120130140150160112140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.70.1
46.946.8
Auto11.9
Teleop24.7
End10.0
blue by 2.5
49.20.4
48.649.0
Auto13.1
Teleop30.4
End5.8
Second
6002
#11
46.60.1
46.846.7
Auto14.6
Teleop25.2
End6.7
blue by 0.2
46.80.4
46.146.5
Auto14.5
Teleop25.5
End6.8
Third
5235
#23
22.00.1
22.222.1
Auto4.7
Teleop8.7
End8.6
blue by 1.7
4810
#30
23.70.4
23.123.5
Auto4.4
Teleop13.4
End5.9