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Red109
523522.0
600246.6
515246.7
Blue135
567546.8
931249.2
481023.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123127100140160109135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.70.1
46.846.7
Auto11.9
Teleop24.7
End10.0
blue by 2.5
49.20.2
49.049.2
Auto13.1
Teleop30.4
End5.8
Second
6002
#11
46.60.1
46.746.6
Auto14.6
Teleop25.2
End6.7
blue by 0.2
46.80.2
46.546.8
Auto14.5
Teleop25.5
End6.8
Third
5235
#23
22.00.1
22.122.0
Auto4.7
Teleop8.7
End8.6
blue by 1.7
4810
#30
23.70.2
23.523.7
Auto4.4
Teleop13.4
End5.9