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Red68
365827.8
432723.9
499827.4
Blue55
781120.1
927816.5
658817.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions865701001502006855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.80.6
24.924.3
Auto9.6
Teleop11.8
End6.4
red by 7.7
7811
#31
20.10.2
16.816.5
Auto6.9
Teleop5.6
End7.7
Second
4998
#14
27.40.6
24.223.6
Auto9.5
Teleop12.5
End5.4
red by 10.0
6588
#26
17.40.1
21.020.8
Auto5.5
Teleop5.7
End6.3
Third
4327
#36
23.90.6
27.927.3
Auto7.6
Teleop10.3
End6.0
red by 7.3
9278
#37
16.50.2
19.319.1
Auto3.2
Teleop7.1
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
67%Activation oddsEarned42%Activation oddsEarned