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Red112
515246.7
21624.6
725623.1
Blue100
923814.8
261142.8
920835.5
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76884060100120140112100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.72.6
40.643.2
Auto11.9
Teleop24.7
End10.0
red by 3.9
42.80.9
35.136.0
Auto13.3
Teleop23.6
End6.0
Second
216
#12
24.62.6
21.424.0
Auto8.0
Teleop11.9
End4.7
blue by 10.9
9208
#17
35.50.9
31.332.2
Auto10.5
Teleop17.3
End7.6
Third
7256
#18
23.12.6
10.913.5
Auto5.8
Teleop10.7
End6.6
red by 8.3
9238
#35
14.81.5
14.916.4
Auto4.6
Teleop4.2
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
58%Activation oddsEarned48%Activation oddsEarned