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Red78
923814.8
499827.4
921522.5
Blue95
550122.2
725623.1
860839.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66644050607080901007895

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4998
#14
27.41.1
22.823.9
Auto9.5
Teleop12.5
End5.4
blue by 12.4
39.93.8
24.428.2
Auto14.5
Teleop18.5
End6.9
Second
9215
#29
22.51.8
22.324.1
Auto8.5
Teleop8.1
End5.9
blue by 0.6
7256
#18
23.12.3
17.920.2
Auto5.8
Teleop10.7
End6.6
Third
9238
#35
14.81.8
16.918.7
Auto4.6
Teleop4.2
End6.0
blue by 7.4
5501
#22
22.22.3
18.320.6
Auto4.7
Teleop8.6
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
75%Activation oddsEarned39%Activation oddsEarned