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Red70
8308.5
168443.3
927816.5
Blue143
567546.8
931249.2
261142.8
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6313405010015020025070143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.30.2
44.644.4
Auto11.3
Teleop21.8
End10.2
blue by 5.9
49.21.8
39.941.6
Auto13.1
Teleop30.4
End5.8
Second
9278
#37
16.50.3
17.517.2
Auto3.2
Teleop7.1
End6.2
blue by 30.2
46.81.8
40.141.8
Auto14.5
Teleop25.5
End6.8
Third
830
#39
8.50.2
5.95.7
Auto2.7
Teleop1.8
End4.0
blue by 34.3
42.81.8
36.638.4
Auto13.3
Teleop23.6
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed12%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
63%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsEarned