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Red94
567546.8
8308.5
445328.2
Blue92
515246.7
28820.0
499827.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions779540601201409492

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.81.0
41.842.8
Auto14.5
Teleop25.5
End6.8
red by 0.1
46.70.0
43.543.5
Auto11.9
Teleop24.7
End10.0
Second
28.21.0
26.527.5
Auto9.5
Teleop12.6
End6.1
red by 0.8
4998
#14
27.40.0
23.923.9
Auto9.5
Teleop12.5
End5.4
Third
830
#39
8.51.0
5.76.7
Auto2.7
Teleop1.8
End4.0
blue by 11.5
288
#24
20.00.0
19.119.1
Auto9.2
Teleop5.7
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
55%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsMissed