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Red80
600246.6
330221.2
550122.2
Blue117
261142.8
481023.7
567638.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93105608012014016080117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6002
#11
46.60.6
46.946.3
Auto14.6
Teleop25.2
End6.7
red by 3.7
42.81.0
38.439.4
Auto13.3
Teleop23.6
End6.0
Second
5501
#22
22.20.6
20.620.0
Auto4.7
Teleop8.6
End8.8
blue by 16.6
5676
#13
38.81.0
36.837.8
Auto10.6
Teleop20.8
End7.5
Third
3302
#20
21.21.0
21.520.5
Auto4.4
Teleop7.6
End9.2
blue by 2.5
4810
#30
23.71.7
21.523.2
Auto4.4
Teleop13.4
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned77%Activation oddsMissed