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Red119
719739.1
860839.9
150426.6
Blue102
550122.2
261142.8
722623.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11490406080100140160180119102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.90.3
39.439.7
Auto14.5
Teleop18.5
End6.9
blue by 3.0
42.80.3
42.542.8
Auto13.3
Teleop23.6
End6.0
Second
39.10.3
38.638.9
Auto9.8
Teleop21.0
End8.2
red by 15.9
7226
#19
23.20.3
22.923.2
Auto8.6
Teleop9.1
End5.5
Third
1504
#28
26.60.3
26.126.5
Auto4.5
Teleop14.2
End7.9
red by 4.4
5501
#22
22.20.3
21.922.2
Auto4.7
Teleop8.6
End8.8