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Red126
481023.7
931249.2
567546.8
Blue144
515246.7
600246.6
523522.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12412090100110130140150160126144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.20.2
47.848.1
Auto13.1
Teleop30.4
End5.8
red by 2.5
46.70.5
46.046.5
Auto11.9
Teleop24.7
End10.0
Second
46.80.2
45.445.6
Auto14.5
Teleop25.5
End6.8
red by 0.2
6002
#11
46.60.5
45.946.4
Auto14.6
Teleop25.2
End6.7
Third
4810
#30
23.70.2
22.322.5
Auto4.4
Teleop13.4
End5.9
red by 1.7
5235
#23
22.00.5
21.321.8
Auto4.7
Teleop8.7
End8.6