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Red70
607833.1
556720.6
719511.2
Blue71
498331.1
728924.8
920311.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions597102040801001207071

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6078
#17
33.11.4
20.421.8
Auto10.4
Teleop17.0
End5.7
red by 1.9
31.10.1
24.824.9
Auto7.5
Teleop13.6
End10.1
Second
5567
#20
20.61.4
23.725.1
Auto6.5
Teleop9.4
End4.7
blue by 4.2
7289
#18
24.80.0
22.122.2
Auto3.4
Teleop12.7
End8.7
Third
7195
#32
11.21.4
12.914.4
Auto1.7
Teleop4.7
End4.8
blue by 0.1
9203
#34
11.20.1
18.418.4
Auto2.1
Teleop4.3
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
32%Activation oddsMissed31%Activation oddsEarned