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Red60
661022.8
590729.6
365537.2
Blue45
57048.8
224621.8
528217.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89582040801001201406045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3655
#11
37.22.2
25.523.3
Auto7.6
Teleop21.5
End8.1
red by 15.4
2246
#16
21.81.5
25.624.2
Auto6.5
Teleop10.3
End5.1
Second
29.62.2
31.729.5
Auto8.7
Teleop19.5
End1.4
red by 11.7
5282
#28
17.90.9
20.419.5
Auto0.4
Teleop12.7
End4.8
Third
6610
#22
22.81.3
22.721.4
Auto6.5
Teleop8.0
End8.3
red by 14.0
5704
#29
8.81.5
12.110.6
Auto1.6
Teleop0.8
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
51%Activation oddsMissed41%Activation oddsMissed