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Red63
567423.5
659112.4
725412.6
Blue50
924117.8
661022.8
920311.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4853204060806350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5674
#26
23.51.3
22.824.0
Auto5.8
Teleop13.3
End4.5
red by 0.7
6610
#22
22.80.1
20.320.3
Auto6.5
Teleop8.0
End8.3
Second
7254
#25
12.61.3
11.312.6
Auto2.8
Teleop2.8
End6.9
blue by 5.2
9241
#24
17.80.1
17.717.8
Auto3.0
Teleop9.5
End5.3
Third
6591
#14
12.41.1
11.913.0
Auto3.9
Teleop3.1
End5.4
red by 1.2
9203
#34
11.20.1
11.211.2
Auto2.1
Teleop4.3
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
36%Activation oddsEarned22%Activation oddsMissed