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Red126
365537.2
661022.8
148137.2
Blue82
607833.1
361824.8
556720.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1008120406012014016012682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3655
#11
37.20.8
35.436.1
Auto7.6
Teleop21.5
End8.1
red by 4.1
6078
#17
33.10.1
33.033.1
Auto10.4
Teleop17.0
End5.7
Second
37.20.8
35.436.1
Auto9.1
Teleop23.3
End4.8
red by 12.4
3618
#10
24.80.1
24.724.8
Auto6.6
Teleop15.5
End2.8
Third
6610
#22
22.80.8
21.021.8
Auto6.5
Teleop8.0
End8.3
red by 2.2
5567
#20
20.60.1
20.520.6
Auto6.5
Teleop9.4
End4.7