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Red80
615027.5
657032.3
498331.1
Blue131
365537.2
661022.8
148137.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98101608012014016080131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.30.5
32.832.3
Auto9.8
Teleop15.5
End7.1
blue by 4.9
3655
#11
37.20.7
36.136.8
Auto7.6
Teleop21.5
End8.1
Second
31.10.5
31.631.1
Auto7.5
Teleop13.6
End10.1
blue by 6.1
37.20.7
36.136.8
Auto9.1
Teleop23.3
End4.8
Third
6150
#21
27.50.5
28.027.5
Auto4.1
Teleop15.9
End7.5
red by 4.7
6610
#22
22.80.7
21.822.5
Auto6.5
Teleop8.0
End8.3