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Red132
653223.1
590750.5
364150.9
Blue154
5154.4
722043.8
569519.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13212380100140160180200132154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.90.2
50.350.5
Auto13.2
Teleop28.3
End9.4
blue by 3.6
51
#4
54.40.6
54.054.6
Auto13.2
Teleop30.2
End11.0
Second
50.50.2
49.950.1
Auto14.6
Teleop28.5
End7.2
red by 6.6
43.80.6
43.444.0
Auto14.0
Teleop23.0
End6.8
Third
6532
#29
23.10.2
22.522.8
Auto8.2
Teleop10.5
End4.4
red by 3.8
5695
#39
19.30.6
18.919.5
Auto6.4
Teleop6.4
End6.6