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Red146
653223.1
590750.5
364150.9
Blue120
5154.4
722043.8
569519.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13212580100140160180200146120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.90.4
50.550.9
Auto13.2
Teleop28.3
End9.4
blue by 3.6
51
#4
54.40.2
54.654.4
Auto13.2
Teleop30.2
End11.0
Second
50.50.4
50.150.5
Auto14.6
Teleop28.5
End7.2
red by 6.6
43.80.2
44.043.8
Auto14.0
Teleop23.0
End6.8
Third
6532
#29
23.10.4
22.823.1
Auto8.2
Teleop10.5
End4.4
red by 3.8
5695
#39
19.30.2
19.519.3
Auto6.4
Teleop6.4
End6.6