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Red55
605719.5
262033.5
836216.7
Blue66
519717.3
920516.6
686132.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8258020401001201405566

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2620
#18
33.51.3
32.931.6
Auto9.4
Teleop15.1
End9.0
red by 0.8
32.70.2
31.231.4
Auto9.7
Teleop15.8
End7.2
Second
6057
#17
19.51.3
23.221.9
Auto5.3
Teleop7.2
End7.0
red by 2.3
5197
#10
17.30.2
11.311.5
Auto3.3
Teleop5.7
End8.2
Third
8362
#27
16.71.3
18.216.9
Auto3.2
Teleop7.5
End6.0
red by 0.1
9205
#28
16.60.2
15.415.6
Auto1.6
Teleop9.7
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned64%Activation oddsEarned