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Red101
615236.4
653223.1
722043.8
Blue62
561915.4
283241.6
475815.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97765015010162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.80.5
35.035.5
Auto14.0
Teleop23.0
End6.8
red by 2.2
41.60.8
45.144.3
Auto12.0
Teleop22.2
End7.4
Second
36.40.5
34.134.6
Auto11.8
Teleop16.8
End7.9
red by 21.0
5619
#37
15.40.8
14.513.7
Auto1.4
Teleop4.0
End9.9
Third
6532
#29
23.10.5
19.119.7
Auto8.2
Teleop10.5
End4.4
red by 8.1
4758
#36
15.00.8
14.613.8
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
56%Activation oddsEarned71%Activation oddsMissed