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Red53
28021.1
547815.7
309816.6
Blue116
364150.9
862312.7
722043.8
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions511062040608012014016053116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
280
#25
21.10.1
18.918.7
Auto5.5
Teleop10.2
End5.4
blue by 29.8
50.91.6
43.645.2
Auto13.2
Teleop28.3
End9.4
Second
3098
#26
16.60.1
21.421.3
Auto4.2
Teleop8.8
End3.6
blue by 27.2
43.81.6
37.439.0
Auto14.0
Teleop23.0
End6.8
Third
5478
#35
15.70.1
14.914.7
Auto6.7
Teleop3.3
End5.7
red by 3.0
8623
#23
12.71.6
11.312.9
Auto3.2
Teleop2.7
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
24%Activation oddsMissed64%Activation oddsEarned