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Red90
925012.6
769230.7
691424.3
Blue113
686132.7
771627.3
5154.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56125010015090113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7692
#12
30.71.6
25.426.9
Auto10.7
Teleop13.6
End6.4
blue by 23.8
51
#4
54.40.7
52.251.5
Auto13.2
Teleop30.2
End11.0
Second
6914
#22
24.31.6
23.925.5
Auto6.9
Teleop11.3
End6.0
blue by 8.4
32.70.7
31.831.1
Auto9.7
Teleop15.8
End7.2
Third
9250
#32
12.61.6
12.213.7
Auto5.3
Teleop4.0
End3.3
blue by 14.7
7716
#15
27.30.7
24.523.8
Auto9.0
Teleop9.9
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
36%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsMissed