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Red105
836216.7
722043.8
920516.6
Blue139
769230.7
771627.3
717835.5
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions709820406080120140160105139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.82.0
40.042.1
Auto14.0
Teleop23.0
End6.8
red by 8.3
7178
#13
35.52.0
33.735.7
Auto10.5
Teleop21.0
End4.1
Second
8362
#27
16.72.0
14.716.7
Auto3.2
Teleop7.5
End6.0
blue by 13.9
7692
#12
30.72.0
29.131.2
Auto10.7
Teleop13.6
End6.4
Third
9205
#28
16.62.0
14.616.6
Auto1.6
Teleop9.7
End5.4
blue by 10.7
7716
#15
27.32.0
25.627.7
Auto9.0
Teleop9.9
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
64%Activation oddsEarned49%Activation oddsEarned