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Red91
475815.0
30833.1
817935.0
Blue115
691424.3
5154.4
755330.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8611720406010014016018091115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.00.1
36.136.2
Auto12.3
Teleop17.4
End5.4
blue by 19.4
51
#4
54.40.6
52.152.7
Auto13.2
Teleop30.2
End11.0
Second
308
#21
33.10.1
33.633.6
Auto9.3
Teleop20.0
End3.7
red by 3.0
7553
#16
30.10.6
29.730.3
Auto9.7
Teleop11.9
End8.6
Third
4758
#36
15.00.1
14.915.0
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End4.7
blue by 9.3
6914
#22
24.30.6
24.024.6
Auto6.9
Teleop11.3
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
19%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsEarned