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Red123
125044.6
590750.5
605719.5
Blue24
925313.3
309816.6
31314.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13143010015020012324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.50.8
47.648.4
Auto14.6
Teleop28.5
End7.2
red by 33.9
3098
#26
16.62.1
19.116.9
Auto4.2
Teleop8.8
End3.6
Second
44.60.8
44.144.9
Auto14.1
Teleop22.9
End7.6
red by 30.1
313
#38
14.52.1
16.614.5
Auto3.3
Teleop8.0
End3.1
Third
6057
#17
19.50.8
19.920.7
Auto5.3
Teleop7.2
End7.0
red by 6.3
9253
#20
13.32.1
15.413.3
Auto3.1
Teleop3.3
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
29%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned25%Activation oddsMissed