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Red136
653223.1
364150.9
590750.5
Blue81
771627.3
755330.1
717835.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131955015020013681

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.90.3
48.849.1
Auto13.2
Teleop28.3
End9.4
red by 15.4
7178
#13
35.50.4
35.735.3
Auto10.5
Teleop21.0
End4.1
Second
50.50.3
48.448.7
Auto14.6
Teleop28.5
End7.2
red by 20.3
7553
#16
30.10.4
30.329.9
Auto9.7
Teleop11.9
End8.6
Third
6532
#29
23.10.3
21.121.3
Auto8.2
Teleop10.5
End4.4
blue by 4.1
7716
#15
27.30.4
27.727.3
Auto9.0
Teleop9.9
End8.4