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Red16
611229.9
611321.9
782323.2
Blue53
656933.7
159616.2
548616.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions676720405060701653

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6112
#14
29.93.1
21.518.4
Auto8.4
Teleop14.6
End6.9
blue by 3.8
33.71.0
28.927.9
Auto9.7
Teleop18.1
End6.0
Second
7823
#18
23.23.1
21.518.4
Auto9.0
Teleop9.9
End4.1
red by 6.6
5486
#36
16.61.0
15.514.5
Auto2.9
Teleop9.1
End4.6
Third
6113
#25
21.95.2
19.814.6
Auto8.0
Teleop7.7
End6.2
red by 5.7
1596
#29
16.21.0
18.617.6
Auto5.6
Teleop5.9
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
32%Activation oddsMissed42%Activation oddsMissed