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Red81
715425.9
439831.6
483523.7
Blue46
437522.3
258625.4
587823.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions816320401001201408146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4398
#27
31.60.5
31.331.8
Auto8.1
Teleop16.2
End7.3
red by 6.2
25.41.4
20.218.8
Auto5.8
Teleop11.5
End8.2
Second
7154
#11
25.90.5
17.718.2
Auto7.1
Teleop10.7
End8.0
red by 2.0
5878
#33
23.81.4
21.520.2
Auto5.1
Teleop10.6
End8.1
Third
4835
#39
23.70.5
24.324.8
Auto7.0
Teleop12.0
End4.6
red by 1.4
4375
#30
22.31.4
19.818.4
Auto8.8
Teleop7.4
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
78%Activation oddsEarned66%Activation oddsMissed