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Red75
778238.1
482720.8
634520.1
Blue114
439831.6
508433.9
656933.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions701002040608012014016075114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.10.4
32.733.0
Auto13.4
Teleop17.8
End6.8
red by 4.2
5084
#13
33.91.3
30.431.6
Auto11.6
Teleop16.0
End6.4
Second
4827
#38
20.80.4
18.418.8
Auto4.7
Teleop10.4
End5.7
blue by 12.9
33.71.3
27.728.9
Auto9.7
Teleop18.1
End6.0
Third
6345
#24
20.10.4
18.318.7
Auto6.8
Teleop7.5
End5.8
blue by 11.5
4398
#27
31.61.3
32.133.3
Auto8.1
Teleop16.2
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
37%Activation oddsEarned47%Activation oddsMissed