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Red58
838228.6
918816.7
483523.7
Blue121
365552.1
548616.6
663734.2
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions619920408012014016058121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8382
#15
28.60.3
23.623.4
Auto6.1
Teleop16.2
End6.3
blue by 23.5
52.11.8
45.347.1
Auto12.2
Teleop31.8
End8.1
Second
4835
#39
23.70.3
26.926.6
Auto7.0
Teleop12.0
End4.6
blue by 10.6
34.21.8
31.233.0
Auto12.3
Teleop16.5
End5.3
Third
9188
#37
16.70.3
11.911.6
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End3.6
red by 0.1
5486
#36
16.61.8
11.913.7
Auto2.9
Teleop9.1
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
21%Activation oddsMissed64%Activation oddsEarned