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Red65
570615.7
804123.4
587823.8
Blue98
159616.2
917635.8
607923.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions607820401001206598

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5878
#33
23.80.4
19.920.3
Auto5.1
Teleop10.6
End8.1
blue by 12.0
9176
#12
35.81.8
32.234.0
Auto8.6
Teleop20.5
End6.4
Second
8041
#20
23.40.4
23.023.4
Auto7.4
Teleop8.9
End7.2
Level
6079
#21
23.51.8
20.121.9
Auto4.6
Teleop10.8
End8.1
Third
5706
#32
15.70.4
16.016.4
Auto4.2
Teleop3.7
End7.8
blue by 0.5
1596
#29
16.21.8
18.820.6
Auto5.6
Teleop5.9
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
59%Activation oddsEarned43%Activation oddsMissed