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Red82
607923.5
838228.6
439831.6
Blue66
483523.7
782323.2
804123.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85752040601001201408266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4398
#27
31.60.1
33.333.2
Auto8.1
Teleop16.2
End7.3
red by 7.9
4835
#39
23.70.4
26.626.2
Auto7.0
Teleop12.0
End4.6
Second
8382
#15
28.60.1
23.423.2
Auto6.1
Teleop16.2
End6.3
red by 5.2
8041
#20
23.40.4
23.423.0
Auto7.4
Teleop8.9
End7.2
Third
6079
#21
23.50.1
21.921.8
Auto4.6
Teleop10.8
End8.1
red by 0.3
7823
#18
23.20.4
22.021.6
Auto9.0
Teleop9.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
35%Activation oddsEarned49%Activation oddsMissed