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Red69
778238.1
612133.7
159616.2
Blue79
663734.2
715425.9
634520.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95772040601201401606979

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.11.5
33.031.5
Auto13.4
Teleop17.8
End6.8
red by 3.9
34.20.4
33.032.7
Auto12.3
Teleop16.5
End5.3
Second
6121
#16
33.71.5
32.831.3
Auto10.5
Teleop18.4
End4.8
red by 7.8
7154
#11
25.90.4
22.622.3
Auto7.1
Teleop10.7
End8.0
Third
1596
#29
16.21.5
20.619.1
Auto5.6
Teleop5.9
End4.7
blue by 3.9
6345
#24
20.10.4
18.718.3
Auto6.8
Teleop7.5
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
63%Activation oddsMissed79%Activation oddsMissed