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Red121
611229.9
725035.7
656933.7
Blue105
663734.2
258625.4
439831.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10695406080120140160180200121105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.70.4
35.435.8
Auto10.7
Teleop14.8
End10.3
red by 1.5
34.20.1
34.234.2
Auto12.3
Teleop16.5
End5.3
Second
33.70.4
33.433.8
Auto9.7
Teleop18.1
End6.0
red by 2.1
4398
#27
31.60.1
31.531.6
Auto8.1
Teleop16.2
End7.3
Third
6112
#14
29.90.4
29.630.0
Auto8.4
Teleop14.6
End6.9
red by 4.5
25.40.1
25.325.4
Auto5.8
Teleop11.5
End8.2